Hensley Rating System Playoff Week 2 Updates

As promised, I am now going to update everyone as to how the games actually went compared to the simple rating system that I posted yesterday. To update those that didn't get to read that thread yesterday, what I did was take the LitRatings and CantrellRatings and added them together, divided by 2 to get an average power rating. I then took each team in their respective game and found the difference between the two. Once I did that I added 6 points to the team that was playing on their own field to get what I posted. It may sound complicated right now but it's VERY simple.

Now on to the comparisons. The number that I list in black will be the number that was predicted and the number in red is the actual game difference:

Class A

Mayfield over Crittenden County by 17 Mayfield wins by 28

Metcalfe County over Murray by 22.1 Metcalfe County wins by 46

Bardstown over Frankfort by 23.1 Bardstown wins by 29

Danville over Lou. Holy Cross by 27.8 Danville wins by 1

Newport Central Catholic over Bellevue by 18.7 NCC wins by 38

Beechwood over Lexington Christian Academy by 6 LCA wins by 23

Somerset over Pikeville by 13.5 Somerset wins by 28

Paintsville over Lynn Camp by 1 Paintsville wins by 1 :dancingpa

Class AA

Ft. Campbell over Caldwell County by 37.1 Ft. Campbell wins by 49

Owensboro Catholic over Trigg County by 5.6 Owensboro Catholic wins by 12

Western over Wayne County by 27.8 Western wins by 14

DeSales over Corbin by 4.9 DeSales wins by 6

Newport over East Carter by 16.9 Newport wins by 12

Russell over Mercer County by 17.4 Russell wins by 15

Leslie County over Sheldon Clark by 26.5 Sheldon Clark wins by 1

Belfry over Middlesboro by 21.7 Belfry wins by 21 :dancingpa

Class AAA

Hopkinsville over Franklin-Simpson by 22.2 Hopkinsville wins by 26

Bowling Green over Paducah Tilghman by 30.7 Bowling Green wins by 26

Bullitt East over Southwestern by 12.7 Bullitt East wins by 21

Boyle County over Central by 14.2 Boyle County wins by 21

Highlands over Franklin County by 13.1 Highlands wins by 47

Lexington Catholic over Covington Catholic by 3.7 LexCath wins by 3

Bell County over Madison Southern by 12.7 Bell County wins by 31

Ashland Blazer over Rockcastle County by 6.9 Rockcastle County wins by 18

Class AAAA

Warren Central over Graves County by 28 Warren Central wins by 14

Christian County over Apollo by 0.8 Christian County wins by 31

Male over John Hardin by 5.4 John Hardin wins by 2

St. Xavier over DuPont Manual by 10.2 St. Xavier wins by 15

Trinity over Fern Creek by 24.3 Trinity wins by 25 :dancingpa

Dixie Heights over Boone County by 7.3 Boone County wins by 18

Henry Clay over South Laurel by 21.2 Henry Clay wins by 42

Paul L. Dunbar over Scott County by 7.9 PLD wins by 1

I know that there were a few games in which the predictions were completely WRONG but there was more than a fair share that were really good. I counted that there were 15 games that inished within 7 points of what the final score was AND there were 5 of those 15 that finished within 2 points of the difference.

There were also 3 games that were within 1 point of the final.

I was going to go with a 3 point advantage for the home team next week but I think that this way with the 6 point advantage worked really well.

Please note that this is not necessarily my picks but it was something that I did for the heck of it to see how close the games would be.

I will post my regional championship ratings around Wednesday.

Interesting

Thats pretty cool. Only 5 predictions were off and who could have foreseen John Hardin beating Male.

That's pretty good. :thumb:

pretty cool...you're not that guy on TV that solves murders by the numbers are you? Wanna go to Vegas????

Wanna go to Churchhill?

You done a great job.

Looking forward to this week's picks.

I will have them as soon as the LitRatings and CantrellRatings are posted. If I'm not mistaken both are posted on Monday so I hope to have them up Monday evening but that all depends on how my classes go BUT they will definitely be posted by Tuesday.